Atmospheric temperature variability and its response to climate change
The atmospheric temperature distribution is typically described by its mean and variance, while higher order moments, such as skewness and kurtosis, have received less attention. Skewness is a measure of the asymmetry between the positive and negative tails of the distribution, while kurtosis is indicative of the ”extremity” of the tails. Applying a dynamical approach we study what controls the spatial structure of the near-surface temperature distribution and its response to climate change
The 850hPa temperature field from ERA-Interim Reanalysis data. Black (white) dots denote the positive (negative) temperature anomalies
Selected Publications
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T. Tamarin-Brodsky, K.I. Hodges, B.J Hoskins and T. Shepherd, “A simple model for interpreting temperature variability and its higher-order changes”, J. Clim., Vol. 35 (1), 387–403 (2021)​
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K. Kornhuber and T. Tamarin-Brodsky, “Future Changes in Northern Hemisphere Summer Weather Persistence Linked to Projected Arctic Warming”, Geophys. Res. Lett., 10.1029/2020GL091603 (2021)​​
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T. Tamarin-Brodsky, K.I. Hodges, B.J Hoskins and T. Shepherd “Changes in Northern Hemisphere temperature variability shaped by regional warming patterns ”, Nat. Geosci., 10.1038/s41561-020-0576-3 (2020)​
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T. Tamarin-Brodsky, K.I. Hodges, B.J Hoskins and T. Shepherd “A dynamical perspective on atmospheric temperature variability and its response to climate change ”, J. Clim., Vol. 32, 1707-1724 (2019)
Rossby Wave Breaking and its relation to surface weather
Rossby Wave Breaking (RWB) events describe the last stage in the life-cycle of baroclinic atmospheric disturbances. These breaking events can strongly influence the large-scale circulation and are also related to weather extremes such as heat waves, blockings, and extreme precipitation events. Nonetheless, a complete understanding of the synoptic-scale dynamics involved with the breaking events is still absent. A better understanding of the different life-cycles of real-atmosphere weather systems is important for exploring the relation between storm-tracks and slowly varying weather regimes and how it is mediated by RWB events
Selected Publications
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T. Tamarin-Brodsky, N. Harnik, and Swinda K.J. Falkena, “On storm tracks, weather regimes, and a wave breaking recipe” (under review), AGU advances, Vol. 7, e2025AV002049 (2026)​
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T. Tamarin-Brodsky and N. Harnik, “The relation between Rossby Wave Breaking events and low-level weather systems”, Weather Clim. Dynam., Vol. 5, 87–108, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-87-2024 (2025)
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D. Sandler, H. Saaroni, B. Ziv, T. Tamarin-Brodsky, and N. Harnik, “The Connection Between North Atlantic Storm Track Regimes and Eastern Mediterranean Cyclonic Activity”, Weather Clim. Dynam., Vol. 5, 1103–1116 (2024)​
A Lagrangian approach to storm tracks
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The storm tracks are traditionally defined in either one of the following ways: using an Eulerian approach, as regions of enhanced transient eddy kinetic energy (EKE), obtained using a bandpass time filter with a typical 3–10-day period; or alternatively, using an ensemble of Lagrangian feature tracking of the storms. The latter identifies the storms, tracks them Lagrangially and then analyzes their statistical distributions. The feature-tracking technique gives information about what type of systems, cyclones or anticyclones, compose the statistics of the eddy activity. We use the Lagrangian approach to study mechanisms that control the formation, intensity, and spatial distribution of the storm tracks
Selected Publications​​​
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Y. Yao, Y. Zhang, K. I. Hodges and T. Tamarin-Brodsky, “Different Propagation Mechanisms of Deep and Shallow Wintertime Extratropical Cyclones over the North Pacific”, J. Clim., Vol. 36, 8277-8297 (2023)​​​​
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T. Tamarin-Brodsky and O. Hadas “The asymmetry of vertical velocity in current and future climate”, Geophys. Res. Lett., 10.1029/2018GL080363 (2019)​
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T. Tamarin-Brodsky and Y. Kaspi, “Enhanced poleward propagation of storms under climate change”, Nat. Geosci., 10.1038/s41561-017-0001-8 (2017)​
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T. Tamarin and Y. Kaspi, “The poleward shift of storm tracks under global warming: A Lagrangian perspective”, Geophys. Res. Lett., 10.1002/2017GL073633 (2017)​
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T. Tamarin and Y. Kaspi, “Mechanisms controlling the downstream poleward deflection of midlatitude storm tracks”, J. Atmos. Sci., Vol. 74, 553-572 (2016)
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T. Tamarin and Y. Kaspi, “The poleward motion of Extratropical cyclones from a potential vorticity tendency analysis”, J. Atmos. Sci., Vol. 73, 1687-1707 (2016)
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